Free MLB Picks For Today 6/30/2024
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Pirates at Braves—Bailey Falter will start for Pittsburgh. Falter has fifteen starts in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 4.00 and WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander strikes out 16.2% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.8% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Spencer Schwellenbach is the starter for Atlanta. Schwellenbach in five starts on the campaign has an ERA of 5.40 with WHIP of 1.27. The righty has a K mark of 21.9% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 42.9% with 0.68 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.37 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh in their past ten games is batting .194. The Braves in this period are hitting .231. The Braves bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.12. Atlanta is 20-9 to the under when favored by -110 or higher this season. They are now 23-14 to the under at home. Play Pittsburgh and Atlanta under 9.
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Padres at Red Sox—Matt Waldron will start for San Diego. Waldron in sixteen starts on the year puts up an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander is striking out 22.6% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.8% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. Josh Winckowski to start for Boston. Winckowski appeared in thirteen games with an ERA of 3.26 with WHIP of 1.48. The righty is fanning 19.4% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.9% with 0.59 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego in their past seven games is batting .290 and putting up 6.9 runs per game. They are hitting .275 against right-handed starters. Boston is batting .249 at home where they have a losing record. Boston is 36-38 when a home favorite of -110 or higher the past two seasons with a -17.8-unit loss. The Padres are 26-18 against winning teams. Play San Diego +110.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Marlins at Phillies—Yonny Chirinos will start for Miami. Chirinos has two starts in 2024 putting up an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP of 1.40. The righthander started the season in Triple A due to ineffectiveness in the Majors last year. He has 12 starts in Triple A this year with an ERA of 3.00 and WHIP of 1.26 striking out 47 batters in 66 innings of work. Ranger Suarez to start for Philadelphia. Suarez in sixteen starts has an ERA of 1.83 with WHIP of 0.92. The lefthander fans 26.1% with 5% walks. Ground balls come in at 53.8% with 0.55 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The injuries to Schwarber, Harper and Realmuto are significant to the Phillies. Miami in their past seven games are batting .207 and have struggled against left handed starters. The Marlins bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.68. They are 12-2 to the under when a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season. Play Miami and Philadelphia under 8.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Yankees at Blue Jays—Gerrit Cole will start for New York. Cole in two starts in 2024 posts an ERA of 9.00 and WHIP of 1.88. The righthander was sidelined with an elbow injury. Last year he started 33 games with an ERA of 2.63 with WHIP of 0.98. The veteran struck out 27% with 5.8% walks. Grounders sit at 39.6% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Kevin Gausman will start for Toronto. Gausman has sixteen starts with an ERA of 4.26 and WHIP of 1.27. The righty is fanning 22.8% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls served at 39.1% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York in their past seven games is batting .189. They are 11-14 facing the Division and batting .211. The Yankees have lost eight of ten. Toronto has a winning mark at home. Cole has been roughed up coming back from his elbow injury and walking people. Strikeouts are way down. Play Toronto +105.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Astros at Mets—Shawn Dubin will start for Houston. Dubin appeared in fourteen games on the season delivering an ERA of 5.64 with WHIP of 1.66. The righthander struck out 24.5% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.3% with no homers allowed. His FIP is 2.52 suggesting a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino has fifteen starts with an ERA of 3.29 and WHIP of 1.15. The veteran strikes out 19% with 8.3% walks. Grounders served at 50.8% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Astros in their past seven games are batting .320 and putting up 6.9 runs per game. The Mets in this period are batting .284 and putting up 6.9 runs per game. The wind has been forecasted to blow out in New York. Play Houston and New York over 9.
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Nationals at Rays—Patrick Corbin will start for Washington. Corbin in sixteen starts on the year deals with an ERA of 5.46 and WHIP of 1.53. The lefthander strikes out 15.5% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.8% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Taj Bradley will start for Tampa Bay. Bradley has nine starts with an ERA of 3.81 and WHIP of 1.15. The righthander fans 29.6% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.6% with 1.81 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Past ten games the Nationals are batting .254 and putting up 5.2 runs per game. Tampa Bay bats just .246 at home where they have a losing mark. Washington is 31-37 when an underdog of +100 or higher with a +10.7-unit return. They are 52-48 facing losing teams the past two seasons with a +19 unit return. Play Washington +166.
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Rockies at White Sox—Kyle Freeland will start for Colorado. Freeland in five starts in 2024 puts up an ERA of 9.55 with WHIP of 1.94. The lefthander is striking out 12.1% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 51.2% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 5.13 which suggests a dramatic drop in ERA based on his numbers. Garret Crochet to start for Chicago. Crochet has seventeen starts with an ERA of 3.05 and WHIP of 0.94. The lefthander has an elite K mark of 34.9% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 45% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Past ten games the White Sox are batting .219 and the Rockies are at .222. Crochet has been more effective at home. But the word from White Sox management is that Crochet’s workload is going to decrease as he has pitched 94 1/3rd innings this year and had a light workload the prior to seasons coming off Tommy John injury. The White Sox bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.34. Play Colorado +163.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Guardians at Royals—Logan Allen is the starter for Cleveland. Allen has sixteen starts dealing with an ERA of 5.72 with WHIP of 1.55. The lefthander fans 18.5% with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.1% with 2.06 home runs per nine innings. Seth Lugo to start for Kansas City. Lugo in 17 starts has an ERA of 2.29 with WHIP of 1.05. The righthander strikes out 21.6% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.9% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.35 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Guardians are batting .259 and putting up 5.3 runs per game. In this span the Royals hit .204. Cleveland has an edge in the bullpen with an ERA of 2.76 on the road this season. The Guardians are 30-15 when lined between +125 and -125 this season with a +14.2-unit return. They are 22-11 against winning teams returning +11.3-unit return. Play Cleveland +119.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Cubs at Brewers—Kyle Hendricks will start for Chicago. Hendricks appeared in fourteen games in 2024 carrying an ERA of 6.87 with WHIP of 1.49. The veteran fans 17% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls served at 47.6% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings. Freddy Peralta is the starter for Milwaukee. Peralta has sixteen starts with an ERA of 4.03 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander has an elite K mark of 30.9% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 39% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Hendricks past two outings have been respectable. The Brewers have batted .248 in their divisional games. Peralta at home Day Games has an ERA of 5.62 this season. Play Chicago +160.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Reds at Cardinals—Hunter Greene will start for Cincinnati. Greene has sixteen starts in 2024 providing an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander strikes out 26.5% with 10% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.9% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings. Lance Lynn is the starter for St Louis. Lynn at sixteen starts has an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.36. The veteran fans 21.7% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls served at 41.8% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cincinnati in their past seven games is batting .276 and putting up 5.7 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.85. St Louis is batting .222 in their 35 Day Games losing 20. St Louis is 54-61 when favored by -110 or higher the past two seasons with a -34.7-unit loss. St Louis is 13-24 facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.25 or lower this season with a -15.8-unit loss. Play Cincinnati +100.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Dodgers at Giants—James Paxton will start for Los Angeles. Paxton in fourteen starts on the season deals with an ERA of 3.39 with WHIP of 1.30. The lefthander is striking out 16.3% with 12% walks. Ground balls sit at 37.8% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.78 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Randy Rodriguez to start for San Francisco. Rodriguez appeared in 20 games with an ERA of 4.45 and WHIP of 1.24. The rookie righty is fanning 26.3% with 8.8% walks. Grounders are 43.7% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles was hitting .240 in their Day Games as this series began with the Giants batting .258 and putting up 4.9 runs per game. Paxton has not been as effective on the road. San Francisco is hitting left-handed starters well. Play San Francisco +124.
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Tigers at Angels—Casey Mize will start for Detroit. Mize has fifteen starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 4.54 with WHIP of 1.49. The righthander strikes out 17.1% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls served at 47.6% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Anderson will start for Los Angeles. Anderson in sixteen starts has an ERA of 2.63 with WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander has seen his Ks drop to 15.9% with 11.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 35.7% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.75 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Detroit in their past ten games is batting .206 and putting up 2.9 runs per game. The Los Angeles bullpen has performed well over their past ten games with the Tigers struggling. Mize on the road has an ERA of 5.93 with WHIP of 1.78 and struggling with control. Play Los Angeles -106.
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Twins at Mariners—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan in sixteen starts on the season deals an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 0.96. The righthander fans 26.1% with 3.9% walks. Ground balls served at 33.2% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Luis Castillo starts for Seattle. Castillo has 17 starts with an ERA of 3.79 and WHIP of 1.21. The veteran strikes out 24.3% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.5% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.78. They have struggled to hit at home. The Twins on the road has a pen ERA of 3.81 and have struggled to hit. The Mariners home unders have been very strong this season. Home splits good for Castillo this year. Play Minnesota and Seattle under 7.
Oakland Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Athletics at Diamondbacks—Luis Medina is the starter for Oakland. Medina has five starts on the year delivering an ERA of 5.63 with WHIP of 1.58. The righthander fans 15.5% with 10.9% walks. Grounders dished at 32.5% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Brandon Pfaadt to start for Arizona. Pfaadt in sixteen starts has an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP of 1.18. The righty is striking out 21.4% with 6% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.9% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland is batting .249 against the American League and putting up 4.7 runs per game. Medina has been hammered in three of his past four starts. Pfaadt has allowed four earned runs or greater in four of his past six starts where he posts an ERA of 5.11. The Diamondbacks are 11-3 to the over this month at home. Play Oakland and Arizona over 8.5.
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/30/2024
Rangers at Orioles—Andrew Heaney is the starter for Texas. Heaney appeared in sixteen games in the year carrying an ERA of 4.17 with WHIP of 1.31. The lefthander is striking out 22.3% with 6.5% walks. Grounders sit at 34.7% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Cole Irvin to start for Baltimore. Irvin has fifteen appearances with an ERA of 3.74 with WHIP of 1.31. The righthander has seen his Ks fall to 16.5% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 39% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Texas bullpen on the road has an ERA of 6.23. The Orioles pen at home has an ERA of 3.23. They are batting .263 against left-handed starters and putting up 5.4 runs per game against them. The Orioles in their past ten games are batting .294 and putting up 6.6 runs per game. Baltimore is 71-34 when lined between -125 and -175 the past three seasons with a +21.6 unit return. Texas is 20-32 facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower this season with a -13.2 unit loss. Play Baltimore -153.