Free MLB Picks For Today 6/29/2024
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Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Rockies at White Sox—Cal Quantrill will start for Colorado. Quantrill in sixteen starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP of 1.30. The righthander strikes out 17% with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.9% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings. Jonathan Cannon is the starter for Chicago. Cannon appeared in seven games with an ERA of 4.59 with WHIP of 1.41. The righty is fanning 20% with 4.1% walks. Grounders are 43.6% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago is batting .196 in their past seven games. The Rockies are batting .253 against the American League putting up 4.6 runs per game. The team record behind Quantrill is 39-31 the past two seasons with a +14.6-unit return. The White Sox are 15-49 against right-handed starters this season with a -26.1-unit loss. Play Colorado -103.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Reds at Cardinals—Carson Spiers to start for Cincinnati. Spiers appeared in seven games in 2024 puts up an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander strikes out 18.9% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.8% with no homers allowed. A FIP of 2.32 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Sonny Gray is the starter for St Louis. Gray in fourteen starts an ERA of 2.81 with WHIP of 0.95. The veteran has an elite K rate of 31.7% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.9% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cincinnati is batting .276 in their past seven games putting up 5.7 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.85. St Louis is batting .220 in their 34 Day Games losing 19 of those games. St Louis is 29-36 as a favorite of -125 to -175 the past two seasons with a -23.4-unit loss. The Cardinals are 13-23 facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.25 or lower the past two seasons with a -14.5-unit loss. Play Cincinnati +153.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Yankees at Blue Jays—Nestor Cortes will start for New York. Cortes in seventeen starts on the year deals with an ERA of 3.40 with WHIP of 1.07. The lefthander fans 23.1% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 30.4% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt has sixteen starts has an ERA of 3.45 with WHIP of 1.37. The veteran strikes out 21.1% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.2% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York is batting .211 against the Division losing 13 of their first 23. Toronto in their past seven games is putting up 5.1 runs per game and hitting .255. Cortes on the road has an ERA of 5.57. The team mark behind Cortes is 1-7 when lined between +125 and -125 this season with a -7-unit loss. Play Toronto +106.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Marlins at Phillies—Roddery Munoz will start for Miami. Munoz has seven starts on the season carrying an ERA of 5.80 with WHIP of 1.40. The rookie righthander fans 22.1% with 11.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 31.7% with 3.53 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Nola is the starter for Philadelphia. Nola in sixteen starts has an ERA of 3.39 and WHIP of 1.05. The veteran strikes out 22.5% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.9% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miami is batting .207 in their past seven games. They have gone under in 25 of their first 38 on the road. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.68. Miami is 34-19 to the under when an underdog of +150 or higher the past two seasons. The Phillies are 28-15 to the under when favored by -150 or higher this season. Injuries to Harper, Schwarber and Realmuto huge. Play Miami and Philadelphia under 8.5.
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Padres at Red Sox—Michael King is the starter for San Diego. King in seventeen appearances on the year puts up an ERA of 3.75 with WHIP of 1.29. The righthander fans 27.2% with 9.5% walks. Grounders are 39.1% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. Tanner Houck to start for Boston. Houck has sixteen starts with an ERA of 2.18 with WHIP of 0.97. The righty is fanning 24.3% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls served at 55.9% with minimal home run damage.
The Pick:
San Diego is batting .290 in their past seven games putting up 6.9 runs per game. They are hitting .275 on the road. Boston is batting .249 at home with a losing record. Boston is 36-37 as a home favorite of -110 or higher the past two seasons with a -16.5-unit loss. San Diego is 24-18 in their first 42 against winning teams. Play San Diego +130.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Guardians at Royals—Tanner Bibee is the starter for Cleveland. Bibee in sixteen starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.50 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander fans 29.3% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.7% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings. Cole Ragans will start for KC. Ragans in seventeen starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP of 1.15. The lefthander is striking out 29.9% with 8.2% walks. Grounders sit at 40.7% with 0.55 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland is 17-5 against left-handed starters hitting .264 and putting up 5.6 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.63. Kansas City in their past seven games are batting .176. The Guardians are 28-12 when lined at -100 to -150 this season with a +13.1-unit return. The team mark behind Bibee is 13-3 this year and 21-10 against winning teams. Play Cleveland -103.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Cubs at Brewers—Justin Steele will start for Chicago. Steele in eleven starts on the season carries an ERA of 3.08 with WHIP of 1.06. The lefthander fans 24.5% with 6% walks. Ground balls served at 40.3% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. Tobias Myers to start for Milwaukee. Myers appeared in eleven games putting up an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander strikes out 21.6% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.5% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.40 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Chicago bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.50. They are batting .229 against right-handed starters and have lost 26 of 42 on the road. The Cubs are 10-21 on the road when lined between +125 and -125 this season with a -10.7-unit loss. The team record behind Steele is 2-9 this year. Play Milwaukee -111.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Pirates at Braves—Paul Skenes is the starter for Pittsburgh. Skenes has eight starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 2.14 with WHIP of 0.99. The rookie righthander has an elite 33.7% Ks with 4.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 44.5% with 0.97 home runs per nine innings. Max Fried will start for Atlanta. Fried in fifteen starts has an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.07. The lefthander fans 22.3% with 7.5% walks. Grounders sit at 60.6% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh is batting .205 in their past seven games. Atlanta in this period is batting .208. They have a bullpen ERA of 3.12 at home on the year. The Braves are 19-9 to the under when lined at -150 or greater this season and 26-13 to the under facing a starter that allows 5.5 hits per game or fewer this season. Play Pittsburgh and Atlanta under 8.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Astros at Mets—Framber Valdez is the starter for Houston. Valdez in thirteen starts on the year carries an ERA of 3.68 with WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander strikes out 19.3% with 8% walks. Ground balls sit at 62.3% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Tylor Megill is the starter for New York. Megill in seven starts produces an ERA of 4.81 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander has 28.7% Ks with 10.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.9% with 0.53 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Houston in their past seven games is hitting .320 and putting up 6.9 runs per game. New York in this period is batting .284 and putting up 6.9 runs per game. New York hit and put up runs against left-handed starters this season going over in 14 of 21. Play Houston and New York over 8.
Oakland Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Athletics at Diamondbacks—Hogan Harris to start for Oakland. Harris appeared in seven games in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 2.72 with WHIP of 1.13. The lefthander strikes out 18.9% with 8.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 40% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.00 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Zac Gallen will start for Arizona. Gallen has eleven starts with an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP of 1.14. The righthander fans 25.8% with 6.4% walks. Grounders sit at 41% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings. His last start was May 30th where he suffered a hamstring injury.
The Pick:
Oakland is putting up 4.7 runs per game against the National League this season. Arizona is batting .266 against left-handed starters putting up 5.4 runs per game against them. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.31. Gallen may be limited here. Play Oakland and Arizona over 8.5.
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Nationals at Rays—Jake Irvin will start for Washington. Irvin, at sixteen starts on the campaign, carries an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander strikes out 22% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls served at 44.8% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale in sixteen starts has an ERA of 5.20 with WHIP of 1.35. The righty is fanning 23.2% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 32.1% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay in their past seven games is batting .280 and putting up 5.7 runs per game. They are 15-8 against the National League as this series began. Washington is batting .225 against the American League and has a losing record against the league. The Rays are 13-5 facing an NL team with a .245 or lower batting average. Play Tampa Bay -124.
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Rangers at Orioles—Michael Lorenzen is the starter for Texas. Lorenzen in thirteen starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 3.04 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander fans 18% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.4% with 1.17 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.70 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Cade Povich will start for Baltimore. Povich has four starts with an ERA of 4.15 and WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander strikes out 15.1% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.2% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rangers bullpen on the road has an ERA of 6.42. Baltimore in their past seven games is batting .298 and putting up 5.4 runs per game. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.14. Texas is 8-18 to the run line against left-handed starters with a -10.6-unit loss and hit .216 against them. The Orioles are 37-22 to the run line against right-handed starters with a +21.8-unit return. Play Baltimore on run line -1.5 runs at +135.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Dodgers at Giants—Tyler Glasnow will start for Los Angeles. Glasnow at sixteen starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 2.88 and WHIP of 0.87. The veteran has an elite K mark of 35.2% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.7% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Spencer Howard the starter for San Francisco. Howard appeared in six games with an ERA of 3.80 and WHIP of 1.69. The righthander fans 21.4% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.8% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
San Francisco is batting .258 in Day Games putting up 4.9 runs per game and sit four games over .500 in them. Los Angeles is batting .240 in their Day Games and averaging 3.9 runs per game. No Muncy or Betts in the lineup. Play San Francisco +190.
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Tigers at Angels—Reese Olson is the starter for Detroit. Olson in fifteen starts on the season puts up an ERA of 3.35 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 20.7% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 51.2% with limited home run damage. Griffin Canning is the starter for Los Angeles. Canning has sixteen starts with an ERA of 4.72 and WHIP of 1.33. The righty has seen his Ks plummet to 15.7% with 8% walks. Ground balls served at 42% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles in their past seven games is batting .196. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.13. The Tigers pen on the road sits with an ERA of 3.33. Los Angeles was 16-25 at home after the opener of this series. Detroit is 22-8 on the road when lined between -100 and -150 the past three seasons with a +12-unit return. The Angels are 5-15 at home when lined between +125 and-125 this season with a -10.4-unit loss. Play Detroit -115.
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/29/2024
Twins at Mariners—Pablo Lopez is the starter for Minnesota. Lopez has sixteen starts in 2024 puts up an ERA of 5.11 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander strikes out 27.5% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.1% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. Bryce Miller to start for Seattle. Miller has 16 starts with an ERA of 3.90 with WHIP of 1.04. The righty is fanning 23.2% with 7.4% walks. Grounders served at 36.9% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle in their past seven games is hitting .204. They have gone under in 26 of 38 home games. Their bullpen has an ERA of 2.81 at home. Minnesota is 23-14 to the under when lined between +125 and -125 this season. Play Minnesota and Seattle under 7.5.