Free MLB Picks For Today 6/28/2024
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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Marlins at Phillies—Kyle Tyler expected to start for Miami. Tyler appeared in two games in the year allowing three earned runs with three strikeouts in six innings of work. He was a 20th round pick in 2018 with seven bullpen appearances in recent years with good results. He has pitched 45 innings in Triple A this year with an ERA of 2.80 and WHIP of 1.18 striking out 35 batters with 18 walks. Cristopher Sanchez will start for Philadelphia. Sanchez has fifteen starts with an ERA of 2.67 and WHIP of 1.28. The righthander fans 20.2% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls served at 59.5% with minimal home run damage.
The Pick:
Miami bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.77. In their past seven games they are batting .190. Sanchez at home has an ERA of 1.41 in his eight starts. The Marlins are 11-2 to the under when a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season and on the road against left handed starters. Philadelphia is 18-10 to the under when favored by -150 or higher at home this season. Play Miami and Philadelphia under 8.5.
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Nationals at Rays—Mitchell Parker will start for Washington. Parker in thirteen starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 3.30 with WHIP of 1.10. The rookie lefthander fans 19.4% with 5.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.8% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Zach Eflin is the starter for Tampa Bay. Eflin has fourteen starts with an ERA of 4.20 and WHIP of 1.14. The veteran strikes out 18.7% with 1.8% walks. Grounders are 43.6% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Washington in their past seven games is batting .257 and putting up 5.7 runs per game. The Rays are batting .225 at home, losing 24 of 45 there. Washington is 30-36 when and underdog of +100 or higher this season with a +10.5-unit return. Tampa Bay is 7-17 facing a starting pitcher that allows 5.5 hits per game or fewer this season with a -13.6-unit loss. Play Washington +138.
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Rangers at Orioles—Max Scherzer is the starter for Texas. Scherzer in his 2024 debut allowed no runs with four strikeouts in five innings at home to the Royals. Last season, the veteran had 27 starts with an ERA of 3.77 and WHIP of 1.12. The righthander fanned 28% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls served at 33.3% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. Albert Suarez will start for Baltimore. Suarez has nine appearances with an ERA of 2.70 and WHIP of 1.33. The righty is fanning 18.7% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 34% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Baltimore in their past seven games is batting .302 and putting up 6.3 runs per game. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.12. Texas is batting .230 in their first 49 night games and has a bullpen ERA on the road of 6.36. The Orioles are 71-34 when favored by -125 and -175 the past two seasons with a +21.6-unit return. They are 24-8 facing an AL team with a slugging percentage of .400 or lower this season with a +11.5-unit return. Texas is 20-31 facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower this season. Play Baltimore -130.
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Yankees at Blue Jays—Marcus Stroman is the starter for New York. Stroman has sixteen starts in the season dealing with an ERA of 3.15 with WHIP of 1.26. The veteran strikes out 17.6% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 50.2% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.87 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Yusei Kikuchi is the starter for Toronto. Kikuchi at sixteen starts an ERA of 4.00 and WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander fans 24.2% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls served at 42.4% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York is batting .227 against left-handed starters, losing 12 of 21 against them. They are batting .216 against the Division, losing 13 of 23. The team record behind Kikuchi is 21-10 facing winning teams the past two seasons with a +10.9-unit return. Play Toronto +105.
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Padres at Red Sox—Randy Vasquez is the starter for San Diego. Vasquez in ten starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 5.10 with WHIP of 1.68. The righthander strikes out 14.6% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.3% with 1.89 home runs per nine innings. Nick Pivetta will start for Boston. Pivetta has eleven starts with an ERA of 4.06 with WHIP of 1.16. The veteran fans 27.2% with 6.4% walks. Grounders are 32.7% with 1.87 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego has a winning mark of the road where they bat .273 and puts up 4.7 runs per game. They’re also hitting .272 against right-handed starters and putting up 5.3 runs per game. Pivetta has been lit up in his past three starts. Boston is 31-35 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 the past three seasons with a -19.6-unit loss. The Padres are 24-18 against winning teams this year with an +8.3-unit return. Play San Diego +137.
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Rockies at White Sox—Dakota Hudson will start for Colorado. Hudson in fifteen starts on the year delivers an ERA of 5.63 with WHIP of 1.58. The righthander strikes out only 11.9% with 11% walks. Ground balls served at 52.1% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Drew Thorpe to start for Chicago. Thorpe has three starts with an ERA of 5.02 and WHIP of 1.53. The rookie righthander fans 13.6% with 16.7% walks. Grounders sit at 40.9% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Past ten games the White Sox are hitting .190 and putting up 1.8 runs per game. Colorado is batting .232 against right handers putting up 4.1 runs per game. Chicago is 15-49 against right-handed starters this season with a -26.1 unit loss. Play Colorado +105.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Astros at Mets—Ronel Blanco will start for Houston. Blanco has fourteen starts on the season carrying an ERA of 2.34 with WHIP of 0.97. The righthander fans 23.7% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls served at 39.2% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.06 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Jose Quintana will start in New York. Quintana in fifteen starts has an ERA of 4.58 with WHIP of 1.32. The lefthander strikes out 17.2% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.3% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Mets are batting .215 and putting up 8.2 runs per game. Houston in this period is batting .288 and putting up 6.1 runs per game. Blanco on the road has an ERA of 1.98 in his six starts. The Astros are 41-26 on the road when lined between +125 and -125 the past two seasons. New York is 46-74 facing starters who allow 5.5 hits per game or fewer the past two seasons with a -36.4 unit loss. Play Houston -112.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Pirates at Braves—Martin Perez is the starter for Pittsburgh. Perez has eleven starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 4.71 with WHIP of 1.55. The lefthander strikes out 18% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls served at 41.9% with 1.41 home runs per nine innings. Charlie Morton is the starter for Atlanta. Morton has fourteen starts with an ERA of 4.20 with WHIP of 1.30. The veteran fans 24.1% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh in their past seven games is batting .205. They are 31-20 to the under against right-handed starters this season. Atlanta is batting .236 in their 49-night games going under in 33 of 48 with a push. The Braves bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.12. They are 19-9 to the under at home favored by -150 or higher this season. Play Pittsburgh and Atlanta under 8.5.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Guardians at Royals—Trison McKenzie is the starter for Cleveland. McKenzie has fifteen starts on the campaign delivers an ERA of 4.66 with WHIP of 1.50. The righthander strikes out 21.8% with 14.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35% with 2.09 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 6.15 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Alec Marsh to start for Kansas City. Marsh in fourteen starts has an ERA of 4.40 and WHIP of 1.22. The righty is fanning 21.8% with 7.3% walks. Grounders are 35.9% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland is batting .268 in their past seven games and putting up 5.7 runs per game. They were 25-18 on the road when this series began. Their bullpen ERA is 2.66 at home. KC in their past seven games is batting .175. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.44. The Guardians are 28-11 when lined between -100 and -150 this season with a +14.1 unit return and 33-18 behind McKenzie the past two seasons with a +13.3-unit return. Play Cleveland -121.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Cubs at Brewers—Jameson Taillon is the starter for Chicago. Taillon in twelve starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 2.90 with WHIP of 1.27. The veteran fans 18.3% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.5% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea appeared in fifteen games with an ERA of 3.62 and WHIP of 1.24. The righthander has seen his Ks drop to 15.6% with 7.5% walks. Grounders served at 40.2% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.79 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Chicago is batting .230 on the road, losing 26 of 42. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.66. Milwaukee in their past seven games is batting .287 and putting up 5.1 runs per game. The Cubs are 17-35 when lined between +125 and -125 this season with a -19-unit loss. The team mark behind Taillon is 6-15 when lined between +125 and 125 the past two seasons with a -10.1-unit loss. The team’s mark behind Rea is 13-4 in night games the past two seasons with a +10-unit return. Play Milwaukee -132.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Reds at Cardinals—Frankie Montas is the starter for Cincinnati. Montas has fourteen starts on the year carrying an ERA of 4.48 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander fans 18.4% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.8% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Andre Pallante will start for St Louis. Pallante appeared in fourteen games with an ERA of 5.23 with WHIP of 1.62. The righty is fanning 17.8% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 59.6% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.22 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Cincinnati is batting 228 against right-handed starters posting a losing mark against them. St Louis in their past seven games is batting .282 and putting up 4.7 runs per game. The Reds have a losing mark on the road. Play St Louis -124.
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Tigers at Angels—Kenta Maeda to start for Detroit. Maeda in thirteen starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 6.00 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander has seen his Ks drop to 17.6% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls are 34.9% with 1.83 home runs per nine innings. Zach Plesac will start for Los Angeles. Plesac in two starts allowed nine earned runs with two strikeouts in 9 1/3rd innings. He was ineffective in five starts last year with Cleveland with an ERA of 7.59 and WHIP of 1.97. In 13 Triple A starts on the year he posted an ERA of 5.42 with WHIP of 1.43 striking out 51 batters in 74 2/3rd innings.
The Pick:
The Angels bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.16 in their 40 games losing 25 of those games. Detroit bullpen on the road carries an ERA of 3.38. They are 22-7 on the road when lined between -100 and -150 the past three seasons with a +13.4-unit return. Los Angeles is 2-11 facing the AL Central this year with a -8.1-unit loss and 7-21 facing teams that allow 4.4 runs per game or fewer this season with a -11.9 unit loss. Play Detroit -112.
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Twins at Mariners—Bailey Ober will start for Minnesota. Ober has fifteen starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander strikes out 25.2% with 6.1% walks. Ground ball rate of 31.8% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert has sixteen starts with an ERA of 2.71 and WHIP of 0.89. The righty is fanning 24.6% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls are 43.9% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Minnesota is batting .236 against right-handed starters this year with a -4.8-unit loss. Their bullpen has an ERA of 4.05 on the road. Seattle bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.81. They are 27-12 at home. The team record behind Gilbert is 26-13 when lined between +125 and -125 the past three seasons with a +14.2-unit return. The Twins are 13-24 against winning teams with a -14.4-unit loss. Play Seattle -126.
Oakland Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Athletics at Diamondbacks—JP Sears is the starter for Oakland. Sears has sixteen starts in 2024 providing an ERA of 5.04 with WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander strikes out 15.4% with 7.7% walks. Grounders served at 37.1% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Slade Cecconi will start for Arizona. Cecconi appeared in 11 games with an ERA of 5.74 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander fans 18.5% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.7% with 2.03 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cecconi has been pounded at home. Sears has been pounded the past three starts. Arizona is batting .269 against left-handed starters putting up 5.4 runs per game. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.31. The Diamondbacks are 12-3 to the over at home against the American League. Play Oakland and Arizona over 8.5.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/28/2024
Dodgers at Giants—Landon Knack will start for Los Angeles. Knack in five starts on the season posts an ERA of 2.10 with WHIP of 0.94. The rookie righthander fans 17.6% with 7.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 36.5% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.43 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Logan Webb is the starter for San Francisco. Webb has 17 starts with an ERA of 3.16 and WHIP of 1.22. The righty is fanning 21% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 56.5% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Los Angeles is batting .261 in their 59-night games putting up 5.4 runs per game winning 37 of 59. San Francisco is batting .232 in their past seven games. The team record behind Webb is 22-28 the past two seasons with a -12.2-unit loss. LAD is 27-16 when lined between +125 and -125 the past two seasons with a +11.1-unit return. Play Los Angeles -105.