Free MLB Picks For Today 6/25/2024
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Guardians at Orioles—Logan Allen to start for Cleveland. Allen in fifteen starts on the season delivers an ERA of 5.23 with WHIP of 1.48. The lefthander strikes out 18% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls served at 43.6% with 1.78 home runs per nine innings. Cole Irvin to start for Baltimore. Irvin in fourteen appearances has an ERA of 3.45 and WHIP of 1.25. The lefty is fanning 17.3% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.3% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland in their past seven games is hitting .284 and putting up 6.3 runs per game. Their bullpen has an ERA of 2.63 on the road. Baltimore is batting .236 against left handers. The Guardians are 28-13 when lined between +125 and -125 this season with a +14.4-unit return. The team mark behind Allen is 11-4 when lined between +100 and +150 with a +8.8 unit return the past two seasons. They are now 20-8 against winning teams with a +12.2 unit return on the year. Play Cleveland +124.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Phillies at Tigers—Ranger Suarez will start for Philadelphia. Suarez in fifteen starts puts up an ERA of 1.75 with WHIP of 0.89. The lefthander strikes out 26.8% with 5.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 51.3% with 0.58 home runs per nine innings. Tarik Skubal to start for Detroit. Skubal has fifteen starts with an ERA of 2.50 with WHIP of 0.97. The lefty is fanning 29.2% with 5% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.7% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Philadelphia in their past seven games is batting .316 and putting up 5.4 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.87. The Tigers in this period of seven games are hitting .206 and have a bullpen ERA at home of 4.59. The team record behind Suarez is 13-2 this season with a +9.9-unit return. The Tigers are now 6-19 facing a team that outscores opponents by 0.5 runs per game or greater this season with a -12.7-unit loss. Play Philadelphia -115.
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Mariners at Rays—Luis Castillo will start for Seattle. Castillo in sixteen starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 3.63 with WHIP of 1.19. The veteran fans 24.7% with 6.7% walks. Grounders sit at 35.4% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Zack Littell to start for Tampa Bay. Littell has fifteen starts with an ERA of 4.20 with WHIP of 1.38. The righthander strikes out 21.5% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.5% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle is batting .225 against right-handed starters and trending to the under against them. Tampa Bay is hitting .222 at home. The Mariners are 23-9 to the under when lined between -100 and -150 this season and 24-12 to the under against losing teams. Play Seattle and Tampa Bay under 7.5.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Blue Jays at Red Sox—Kevin Gausman will start for Toronto. Gausman in fifteen starts on the year delivers an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.29. The veteran has a K mark of 23.1% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.8% with 1.23 home runs per nine innings. Brayan Bello is the starter for Boston. Bello has thirteen starts with an ERA of 4.83 with WHIP of 1.41. The righthander fans 20.4% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 54.5% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Toronto is batting .226 on the road losing 23 of their first 40. Boston in their past seven games are batting .290 and putting up 5.7 runs per game. The Blue Jays have lost eight of ten as this series opened. They are 14-25 facing AL teams that allow 4.4 runs per game or fewer this season with a -12.7-unit loss. Boston is 21-9 facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or higher this season with a +11.5-unit return. Play Boston -116.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Pirates at Reds—Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller in fifteen starts on the year provides an ERA of 3.11 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander strikes out 21.8% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls served at 39.1% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Hunter Greene is the starter for Cincinnati. Greene has fifteen starts with an ERA of 3.35 and WHIP of 1.12. The righthander has 26.6% Ks with 10.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.2% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Reds bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.26. They are putting up 4.2 runs per game against right-handed starters. Pittsburgh is batting .197 in their past seven games. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.08. Cincinnati is 61-43 facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or higher the past two seasons with a +20.7-unit return. Play Cincinnati -120.
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Yankees at Mets—Gerrit Cole will start for New York. Cole in his 2024 debut allowed two earned runs with five strikeouts in four innings at home to the Orioles. He returns from an elbow issue. Last year he had an ERA of 2.63 with WHIP of 0.98. The veteran struck out 27% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls were 39.6% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. David Peterson will start for New York. Peterson in four starts has an ERA of 3.97 with WHIP of 1.41. The lefthander has seen his Ks drop to 12.2% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls served at 53.9% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
NYY is batting .230 against left-handed starters. The Mets in their past seven games are batting .314 and putting up 7.4 runs per game. Their bullpen ERA at home is 3.21. NYM has won nine of their past eleven games. The Yankees have lost six of eight. Play New York Mets +131.
Atlanta Braves vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Braves at Cardinals—Reynaldo Lopez will start for Atlanta. Lopez has thirteen starts on the year delivering an ERA of 1.57 with WHIP of 1.08. The righthander fans 25.9% with 7.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.5% with limited home run damage. Kyle Gibson to start for St Louis. Gibson in fourteen starts delivers an ERA of 3.44 and WHIP of 1.20. The veteran strikes out 21.3% with 9% walks. Ground balls come in at 48.5% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Atlanta bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.39 on the road. St Louis is 11-21 at home facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.25 or lower the past two seasons with a -14.3-unit loss. Play Atlanta -130.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Dodgers at White Sox—Bobby Miller is the starter for Los Angeles. Miller has four starts in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 6.00 with WHIP of 1.44. The righthander strikes out 26.7% with 12% walks. Ground balls served at 50% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.58 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Chris Flexen to start for Chicago. Flexen appeared in sixteen games with an ERA of 5.03 with WHIP of 1.39. The righthander fans 18.2% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls are 34.5% with 1.35 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles is batting .266 in their past seven games and putting up 6.1 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.66. Chicago is batting .215 at home with a bullpen ERA of 4.69. Chicago is 24-38 to the run line against right-handed starters with a -17.7-unit loss. The Dodgers are 29-13 to the run line against the American League on the road the past three seasons with a +16.3-unit return. Flexen 0-8 to the run line against the National League the past two seasons with a -9.7-unit loss. Play Los Angeles on run line -1.5 runs at -135.
Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Marlins at Royals—Yonny Chirinos will start for Miami. Chirinos in his 2024 debut allowed two earned runs with six strikeouts in five innings of work. Relegated to the minor leagues to start the season due to ineffectiveness last year in the Majors. The righthander carried an ERA of 5.40 with WHIP of 1.39 last year. He struck out 14.4% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls were 45.6% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings. Seth Lugo to start for KC. Lugo in sixteen starts on the season has an ERA of 2.42 with WHIP of 1.07. The veteran fans 20.8% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls are 44% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miami is batting .210 against the American League this season. Kansas City is batting .270 at home and putting up 5.4 runs per game. They are 37-29 to the run line at home with a +6.6-unit return. They are 12-1 at home to the run line against a losing team with a +12.7-unit return. Lugo is 11-3 to the run line facing a team that averages 2.75 extra base hits or fewer per game the past three seasons with a +9.9 unit return Play Kansas City on run line -1.5 runs at -107.
Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Rangers at Brewers—Andrew Heaney to start for Texas. Heaney appeared in fifteen games deals with an ERA of 4.21 with WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander is striking out 22.6% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.7% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. Bryse Wilson to start for Milwaukee. Wilson has eighteen appearances with an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.29. The righthander fans 19% with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.9% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rangers bullpen on the road has an ERA of 6.44. Milwaukee bats .257 at home putting up 5.2 runs per game and winning 22 of their first 34 there. Texas in their past seven games is batting .217. The team record behind Heaney is 3-11 this year and 0-8 working on 5 to 6 days rest. The Brewers are 40-17 when lined between -100 and -150 the past two seasons with a +11.7-unit return. Play Milwaukee -120.
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Rockies at Astros—Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber in fourteen starts on the campaign deals with an ERA of 4.36 with WHIP of 1.30. The lefthander strikes out 16.3% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.7% with 1.65 home runs per nine innings. Hunter Brown is the starter for Houston. Brown has fifteen starts with an ERA of 4.72 and WHIP of 1.41. The righthander fans 25.5% with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 51.2% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Colorado bullpen on the road is 6.20 in their 38 games. They are putting up 3.8 runs per game on the road. Houston in their past seven games are hitting. 295 and putting up 5.7 runs per game. The Astros bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.72. The Rockies are 29-19 to the over in their night games this season. Play Colorado and Houston over 8.
Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Athletics at Angels—Mitch Spence is the starter for Oakland. Spence appeared in eighteen games in 2024 deals with an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.21. The righthander strikes out 19.7% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls delivered at 49.2% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Anderson is the starter for Los Angeles. Anderson has fifteen starts with an ERA of 2.48 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander fans 16.4% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls served at 36.1% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.55 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Oakland is putting up 4.2 runs per game in their 18 against left handed starters. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.65. The Angels have lost 25 of their first 37 at home where their bullpen has an ERA of 5.50. Los Angeles in their past seven games is batting .184. They are 9-21 at home against right-handed starters this year with a -10.5 unit loss and 3-13 facing a starter that allows 1.75 walks per game or lower this season with a -8.9 unit loss. Play Oakland +116.
Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Nationals at Padres—MacKenzie Gore is the starter for Washington. Gore in fifteen starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.49 with WHIP of 1.39. The lefthander fans 28.2% with 7.2% walks. Grounders served at 35.6% with 0.68 home runs per nine innings. Yu Darvish to start for San Diego. Darvish has eleven starts with an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.07. The veteran strikes out 23.1% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.6% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego is batting .228 against left-handed starters putting up 2.5 runs per game against them. Their bullpen ERA at home is 3.84. Washington in their past seven games is batting .254. They are 21-20 on the road with a +10.8-unit return. The team record behind Darvish is 5-11 as a home favorite of -110 or higher the past two seasons with a -13.5-unit loss. Play Washington +120.
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Twins at Diamondbacks—Joe Ryan will start for Minnesota. Ryan in fifteen starts on the year deals with an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP of 0.96. The righthander fans 26.5% with 4.2% walks. Ground balls served at 32.9% with 1.37 home runs per nine innings. Brandon Pfaadt the starter for Arizona. Pfaadt has fifteen starts with an ERA of 4.37 with WHIP of 1.18. The righty is striking out 22.3% with 5.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 39.8% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Minnesota in their past seven games is batting .307 and putting up 5.9 runs per game. Arizona is batting .238 in their 20 games against the American League and losing 12 of them. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.30. The Twins are 28-10 against losing teams this year with a +14.6-unit return. Arizona is 5-17 facing an AL Starter with a WHIP of 1.20 or lower the past two seasons with a -12.3-unit loss. Play Minnesota -115.
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/25/2024
Cubs at Giants—Kyle Hendricks is the starter for Chicago. Hendricks has thirteen appearances carrying an ERA of 7.46 with WHIP of 1.58. The veteran strikes out 17.2% with 7% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.6% with 1.95 home runs per nine innings. Carson Whisenhunt is the starter for San Francisco. Whisenhunt is making his MLB debut. The lefthander was a second-round pick in 2022 and put-up good numbers in the lower minors. In fifteen Triple A starts this year he had an ERA of 4.87 with WHIP of 1.57 striking out 82 batters and 33 walks in 61 innings of work.
The Pick:
The Cubs are batting .227 against left handers losing 11 of 16 against them. As this series began, they were 8 games under .500 on the road. Chicago has a bullpen ERA of 5.46 on the road this season. San Francisco in their past seven games were putting up 5.6 runs per game. The Cubs are 17-32 when lined between +125 and -175 this season with a -15.9 unit loss. Play San Francisco +100.