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Published: November 27, 2009
The Kansas City Chiefs will hit the highway to face the San Diego Chargers in an AFC West divisional NFL match up on Sunday afternoon. Kick off time in San Diego is scheduled for 4PM Eastern Time with regional television coverage provided by CBS. The LVSC NFL football odds makers have set the opening point spread in this contest and the San Diego Chargers opened as a 12 ½ point favorite with the over under coming in at 44 ½. The early money from the college football betting public has come in on the home team, as the San Diego Chargers are currently a 14-point favorite. The total has seen early action towards the over, as the over under is currently lined at 45. NFL money line gamblers can make a play on the favored San Diego Chargers at –800 with the road underdog Kansas City Chiefs bringing back +600 to win straight up without the points a factor in the money line bet.
In their first meeting of the year played in Kansas City it was the San Diego Chargers routing the Chiefs 37-7 as a 6-point road favorite. The Chargers passed all over the weak Kansas City Chiefs secondary for 268 yards and still rushed well for 135 yards. Since the loss the Kansas City Chiefs have played better losing 24-21 at Jacksonville and then winning two straight with wins at Oakland and a huge upset home victory against the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-24 as an 11-point underdog. The Chiefs won the game as they benefited from 3 Steelers turnover and held a +2 turnover margin in the game. The Chiefs were fortunate to win as they allowed the Steelers 114 yards rushing and an incredible 401 yards passing. Matt Cassel is hitting on 55% of his passes with 19 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Cassel has had accuracy issues throughout the season and was just 15 of 30 last week, but made his completions count with 248 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. Cassel was poor against the Chargers in their meeting in week 7 hitting on just 10 of 25 for 97 yards 1 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. With Larry Johnson and his 2.9 yards a carry average send packing Jamaal Charles is averaging 4.9 yards a carry this season. Charles had 4 carries against the Chargers in their meeting and had 33 yards on the ground. One would expect Kansas City to emphasize the run here to keep the explosive Chargers offense off the field. The Chiefs defense is not good as they allow 24 yards a game. They are very bad against the pass allowing 250 yards passing a game and 12.9 yards a completion ranking 31st in the league. The Chargers are on a good roll sitting in first place in the AFC West with a 5 game winning streak. The team is coming off a huge 32-3 victory at Denver as a 6-point road favorite. The Chargers ran all over the Broncos for 203 yards and passed for 145 in victory. Quarterback Phillip Rivers has been very accurate hitting on 80% against Philadelphia and 77.3% last week at Denver combining for 3 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions. He hasn’t passed for 300 yards since way back in week 3 against Miami. Running back LaDainian Tomlinson has produced better numbers over his past two game rushing a combined 169 yards with 3 touchdowns. LT is averaging just 3.4 yards a carry this season but has looked his best all season the past two games. Defensively the Chargers have done a better job stopping the run as the team now sits 12th in the league allowing 4.2 yards a carry. The Chargers have played turnover free football over their past two games and enjoy a +4 turnover margin during this time.
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NFL Trend: Kansas City Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their past 6 games
The Wagerline consensus has 56.1% of the NFL bettors on San Diego -14
The Wagerline consensus has 65.1% of the NFL bettors playing over 45
