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Published: October 28, 2009
The Houston Texans will travel east to face the Buffalo Bills in an NFL contest on Sunday afternoon. Kick off time in Buffalo is set for 1PM Eastern Time with regional television coverage provided by Fox. The LVSC NFL odds makers have set the opening point spread in this contest and the Houston Texan opened as a 3 point favorite with the over under coming in at 41. The early money from the NFL betting public has come in on the road favorite, as the Houston Texans are currently a 3 ½ point favorite. The total has seen betting action towards the over, as the over under is lined at 41 ½ for the bettors to play into. NFL money line bettors can make a play on the favored Houston Texans at – 175 with the home underdog Buffalo Bills returning +155 to win straight up without the points on their side.
The Texans are winners of two in a row and have shown great improvement in their run defense. In the first two weeks of the season many were saying these are the same old Texans who would score a lot of points but give up even more to their opponents with their bad defense. But Houston has defended the run much better allowing 59 yards or less over their past 4 games. Texans starting quarterback Matt Schaub is having another good year under center for Houston. Schaub has hit on 65% of his passes with 16 touchdowns and 5 interceptions He has thrown for 6 touchdown passes during the Texans two game winning streak. But the issue with the Texans has been their running game and they may need it Sunday. Buffalo in the first week in November might not the ideal location to pass the football. A look at the Texans running game is a cause for concern. Leading running back Steve Slaton has rushed 109 times for only 341 yards and 3.1 yards per carry average. Chris Brown is just averaging 3.3 yards per carry. So if the weather is bad you have to be concerned if you have a ticket on the Texans. Buffalo is also coming off two straight wins. Buffalo has benefited from 6 Jets turnovers two weeks ago and 4 Carolina Panthers turnovers in the Bills 20-9 win. The Bills rushing defense has been very poor this season as opposing teams are averaging 5.2 yards per carry this season which is last in the NFL. Whether Houston can exploit this remains the big question. Buffalo’s offense is run by back up quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick ran the Bengals offense last year for an injured Carson Palmer. Fitzpatrick did not look good last season nor did the Bengals offense with Fitzpatrick under center. Once again Fitzpatrick is playing poorly completing just 44% of his passes with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. The Bills have only 9 first downs last week and were 3 of 14 on third down. Two weeks ago the Bills were 5 of 16 on third down. With Fitzpatrick under center the past two weeks the Buffalo Bills were just 8 of 30 on third downs. If not for the 10 turnovers the team received the Bills would be entering this game losers of 2 straight instead of a 2 game winning streak. The Bills are getting 4.0 yards per carry from running back Fred Taylor but just 2.9 yards per carry from Marshawn Lynch.
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NFL Trend: Buffalo Bills are 3-0 to the under in their past 3 games
The Wagerline consensus has 71.2% of the NFL bettors on Houston Texans –3 1/2
The Wagerline consensus has 56.6% the NFL bettors playing over 41 1/2
