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Published: October 27, 2009
The San Francisco 49ers will play on the back end of back-to-back road games by visiting the Indianapolis Colts in an NFL game on Sunday afternoon. Kick off time at Indianapolis is scheduled for 1PM Eastern Time with regional television coverage provided by Fox. The LVSC NFL odds makers have set the opening point spread in this game and the Indianapolis Colts have opened as a 9 ½ point favorite with the over under coming in at 45. The early money from the NFL betting public has come in on the favorite, as the Indianapolis Colts are currently a 12-point favorite. The over under has seen early betting to the under, as the total is currently lined at 43 ½. NFL money line bettors can make a play on the favored Indianapolis Colts at –725 with the road underdog San Francisco 49ers bringing back +575 to win straight up without the point spread a factor in the bet.
San Francisco 49ers enter Indianapolis off a 24-21 road loss to Houston. The 49ers trailed 21-0 at the half and made a quarterback change to Alex Smith and the 49ers were able to cut into the Texans lead before falling in the end on an Alex Smith interception. 49ers head coach Mike Singletary announced that Alex Smith would be the starter entering the Colts game. It’s a big difference when a quarterback comes in relief as opposed to being an announced starter as opposing defensive coaching staffs can prepare a game plan against them. Alex Smith does have a strong arm and the 49ers have surrounded Smith with more talent in the tight end and wide receiver positions with Vernon Davis, Michael Crabtree and Isaac Bruce. Over his career Alex Smith has completed just 54% of his passes with 22 touchdowns and 32 interceptions. Running back Frank Gore returned to the 49ers lineup and contributed with just 32 yards on 12 carries. Gore missed 2 games due to injury thus far in the season. Defensively the 49ers have been ripped apart in the secondary giving up 246 passing yards to Houston last week and 329 to Atlanta prior to their bye week. Passing teams have exploited the 49ers secondary and this may set up quite well for Peyton Manning and the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts are 6-0 on the season and averaging just under 30 points per game while giving up just 12.8. The Colts are averaging over 400 yards of offense per game. Peyton Manning is hitting on 72% of his passes on the season with 15 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. His offensive line is doing a great job of protecting Manning as the 12-year veteran has been sacked just 2 times on the season. Rookie Donald Brown has ran the football very well this season with 4.6 yards per carry average. The Colts defense has given up 17 points or less to 5 of their 6 opponents on the season. The Colts secondary is outstanding in pass coverage allowing just 8.1 yards per completion ranking first in the league.
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NFL Trend: Indianapolis Colts are 5-1 ATS this season
The Wagerline consensus has 63.3% of the NFL bettors on Indianapolis Colts -12
The Wagerline consensus has 76.3% the NFL bettors playing over 43 1/2
