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Published: October 21, 2009
The San Francisco 49ers fresh off their bye week will make a trip to Houston to face the Texans in an NFL game on Sunday afternoon. Kick off time in Houston is set for 1PM Eastern Time with regional television coverage provided by Fox. The LVSC NFL odds makers have set the opening point spread in this game and the home team Houston Texans opened as a 3 point favorite with the over under coming in at 45. The sports betting public will find no movement off of the opening line as the current line reveals Houston as a 3-point favorite in this game. The sports betting public has come in with their early money towards the under, as the current total is lined at 44 for the bettors to play into. NFL money line gamblers can make a play on the favored Houston Texans at –170 with the underdog San Francisco 49ers bringing back +150 to win straight up without the need for getting the points.
San Francisco is coming off their bye week after an embarrassing 45-10 loss at home to the Atlanta Falcons. San Francisco has had problems against the good passing offenses allowing 259 yards to the Cardinals, 283 yards to Minnesota and 329 yards to Atlanta. San Francisco’s secondary will be tested against the size and speed of the Houston Texan receiving corps. San Francisco quarterback Shaun Hill is hitting on 56% of his passes for just 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. The 49ers will welcome back to their lineup running back Frank Gore back from injury and his 6.2 yards per carry average. Rookie running back Glen Coffee in 71 rushes has just 183 yards, which adds up to just 2.6 yards per carry average. The Houston Texans have tightened their run defense as they have allowed no more than 46 yards per game on the ground over their past 3 games. The Texans evened their record at 3-3 on the season after beating Cincinnati last week 28-17. Houston quarterback Matt Schaub is hitting on 65% of his passes this season with 14 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. At issue with the Texans is their running game that is only producing a yards per carry average of just 3.0 yards this season. Running back Steve Slaton is just producing just 3.0 yards per carry in 91 rushes. If the Texans are in passing situations it could produce protection issues as the San Francisco 49ers can bring a productive pass rush which will force hurried throws and turnovers as well as sacks.
Tony T’s Opinion: It will be interesting to see how the improved Texan rush defense handles Frank Gore. Gore has produced 6.2 yards a carry on the season. At first glance one would have been tempted to play Houston put when you find an impact player in a playmaking position returns back into the lineup you have to take a close look. Ball control is essential for the 49ers because they cant win a shootout. If Houston continues their poor run play and the 49ers can bring pressure on Schaub, the 49ers could make a game of it. The line looks right and the total looks right so chances are I will be on the sidelines in this one.
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NFL Trend: Houston Texans are 3-0 to the under in their past 3 games
The Wagerline consensus has 57.4% of the NFL bettors on Houston -3
The Wagerline consensus has 65.4% the NFL bettors playing over 44
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