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Trends Matchups Picks Injuries Odds NFL College Football ScoresPublished: October 21, 2009
The Chicago Bears will pay a visit to the Cincinnati Bengals in an NFL game on Sunday afternoon. Kick off time in Cincinnati is set for 4:15PM Eastern Time with national television coverage provided by Fox. The LVSC NFL odds makers have set the opening point spread in this game and the Cincinnati Bengals opened as a 7 point favorite with the over under coming in at 42. The early money from the NFL betting public has come in on the underdog Chicago Bears, as the Cincinnati Bengals are currently a 1-½ point favorite. The total has seen betting action to the under, as the current total is lined at 41 ½. NFL money line bettors who would like to make a play on the favored Cincinnati Bengals will find them lined at –125 with the road underdog Chicago Bears returning +105 to win the game without the points.
The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a 28-17 loss to the Houston Texans last week. The Bengals pass defense allowed the Texans to gather 385 yards passing on 28 completions last week. In their loss the Cincinnati Bengals the team lost a significant part of their defense. Defensive end Antwan Odom has been lost for the season after suffering a torn Achilles tendon injury last week in defeat. Odom led the Bengals with sacks with 8 on the season. Carson Palmer has been healthy and has produced a 59.1% completion percentage with 8 touchdowns but 7 interceptions on the season. Palmer had some of his receivers drop passes on him last week. Running back Cedric Benson has rushed 127 times for 4.2 yards per rush average this season and has 4 rushing touchdowns. Cincinnati’s secondary is giving up 254 yards per game this season ranking 28th in the league. The Bears are coming off a 21-14 loss last week at Atlanta and are 3-2 on the season. The Bears have a better defense than the Bengals. Cutler has hit on 64% of his passes this season with 10 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. All of Cutlers 7 interceptions have come in the Chicago Bears 3 road games this season. An issue with the Bears with a gunslinger under center is his work in third down situations. The Bears have only converted on 26 of 67 tries on third downs for a 38% conversion rate. Running back Matt Forte is having a poor season and is coming off a game where he had 15 rushes for just 23 yards and a 1.5 yards per rushing average. Forte in 5 games this season had 3 games with rush per attempt averages of 2.2 yards or less and another for 3.1 yards per rush.
Tony T’s Opinion: At first I was all over the Bears here like white on rice. But after handicapping this game in more detail I have more a neutral stance on this game. The Bears have been plagued by turnovers in the red zone. Jay Cutler’s inability to convert third downs is another issue for me in not playing them as a short underdog on the road. Jay Cutlers 7 interceptions in 3 road games are another red flag. I am most likely going to stay away from this game and study how Cincinnati adjusts to the season ending injury to Antwan Odom.
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NFL Trend: Cincinnati Bengals are 0-3 ATS in three favorite roles this season
The Wagerline consensus has 52.2% of the NFL bettors on Chicago Bears +1 1/2
The Wagerline consensus has 61.6% the NFL bettors playing over 41 1/2